Crafting Finance is a synthetic asset issuance protocol and contract trading platform based on the Polkadot contract chain. It uses DOT, KSM, BTC, ETH and the CRF issued by the project as collateral, and synthesizes any cryptocurrency or off-chain assets such as stock, bonds and gold through smart contracts and oracles.Users can forge a certain synthetic asset,as we call&nbsp;RAFTs, such as U.S. dollars, by collateralizing DOT, KSM, BTC, ETH or CRF, which automatically becomes a long position in the asset. Users can also convert minted assets into other assets through the trading platform, so as to achieve the purpose of shorting the asset and longing other assets. The assets minted by users are the liabilities corresponding to the entire system. The proportion of each user’s liabilities has been determined at the time of collateral, so that their respective profits can be calculated. Because such a collateral pool model does not require a counterparty, it perfectly solves the problems of liquidity and transaction depth in DEX.The main functional modules of the entire system include: forging synthetic assets(Forge), decentralized exchange (Kingsman), collateral pools, fee pools, oracles, and Polkadot bridge. <h3>Forging Synthetic Assets(Forge)</h3>The synthetic assets issued by the entire system are all produced by users staking certain collateral. The initial collateral includes CRF, DOT, KSM, BTC and ETH, and the collateralization ratio depends on the variation of the collateral itself. In the future, the collateral and collateralization ratio can be adjusted through community governance. When users stake collaterals and forge synthetic assets, corresponding debts are generated. When the user wants to unlock the collateral, he must repay the debt, that is, destroy the previously generated synthetic assets. <h3>RAFTs</h3>At present,&nbsp;RAFTs&nbsp;(assets synthesized by direct staking of collaterals) can be fitted in to four different categories: stablecoins (RaftStable), simple synthetic assets (Raft), custom synthetic assets (UnivRaft), and synthetic bonds (BondRaft).Stablecoins (RaftStable)<ul><li>Stablecoins are a very important part of synthetic assets, such as rUSD and rEuro which can be used as denomination currency in the whole system as well as contract trading. Furthermore, stablecoins can also be used as collateral lending. Users can borrow stablecoins such as rUSD and exchange it into real world dollars.</li></ul>Simple synthetic assets (Raft)<ul><li>Simple synthetic assets can be cryptocurrencies such as rBTC and rETH, stocks such as rAAPL, gold such as rXAU and any real world assets.</li></ul>Custom synthetic assets (UnivRaft)<ul><li>Custom synthetic assets means that users can issue any kind of a financial contract through this system. By this way, we can stimulate any financial derivatives and include the whole world’s assets.</li></ul>Synthetic bonds (BondRaft)<ul><li>Synthetic bonds are synthetic assets paying interest issued by the system.</li></ul> <h3>DEX (Kingsman)</h3>It is an exchange that provides conversion of different synthetic assets and contract trading. Due to the design characteristics of CF, this DEX does not require a counterparty, and there is no issue of transaction depth. <h3>Other components</h3>Collateral Pool<ul><li>The collateral pool is the sum of synthetic assets generated by all users. According to the amounts of synthetic assets generated by each user, the debt pool also records the proportion of each user’s debt. Whenever a new synthetic asset is generated, the debt ratio of the system must be recalculated.</li></ul>Fee Pool<ul><li>Users trading or converting synthetic assets on the DEX will incur transaction fees. The fee ratio is tentatively set at 0.3%, and these fees all enter the fee pool. The fee is collected in rUSD, and all the fees are distributed to users in proportion to the debt. The system stipulates that only users whose collateral is the CRF can receive rewards, as an incentive for CRF holders. Because the CRF price fluctuates, it is stipulated that only users who meet the collateralization ratio are eligible to receive rewards.</li></ul>Oracle<ul><li>Since the price of contract trading needs to be read from outside sources, the oracle is a very critical part of this project. In the initial stage, the system will use the centralized oracles provided by the project team, and in the future, it will introduce more secure decentralized oracles.</li></ul> <h3>Goal</h3>This project will realize a decentralized virtual asset issuance platform and contract trading platform, which can not only replace the perpetual/futures contract functions of major centralized exchanges in the long term, but can even achieve the issuance of any type of assets on the protocol to have a role to play in the traditional financial market. <h3>Advantage</h3>Centralized contract exchanges have exposed more and more problems, and the entire industry needs a solution for decentralized contract exchanges. The project’s decentralized contract trading solution not only has the characteristics of general DEX openness and transparency, anti-censorship, and does not require KYC, but also because there is no counterparty in the project, it perfectly solves the problems of general DEX transaction depth and liquidity. Therefore, we believe that the prospect of this project is very broad and it is a real DEX solution.

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Bitcoin halving is an event that reduces the rewards that miners receive for validating and adding new transactions to the blockchain by half and it occurs approximately every four years in the Bitcoin blockchain. This mechanism is designed to control the issuance of new bitcoins, limit the supply, and maintain Bitcoin's scarcity and value over time.

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Halvings reduce bitcoin creation rate, slowing down emission temps over time. This leads to curbing inflation. Decreased block rewards make miners rely more on transaction fees, potentially leading to higher fees and a self-sustaining network. Scarcity often drives up prices, attracting investors seeking hedging against inflation, impacting Bitcoin's economic dynamics. That’s why Bitcoin is often called “Store of Value”.

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Fear & Greed Index indicates the current market sentiment. There are 4 possible ranges: Extreme Greed, Greed, Fear, and Extreme Fear.<ul><li>Greed means that traders and investors feel too greedy. This may indicate that the market is due for a correction.</li><li>Fear means that traders and investors are too worried, close to panic sells. This could indicate a good entry point.</li></ul>It is also important to analyze how FGI changed over the period of time, for example in one day, week, or month.

The Fear and Greed Index (FGI) is a comprehensive tool for analyzing cryptocurrency sentiment. It is based on several important market indicators to determine the level of fear or greed present, with a range of 0 to 100.{br}{br}The Fear and Greed Index uses various modules to analyze influential variables in the cryptocurrency market, including volume, volatility, dominance, whale movements, search engine data, and order book analysis. It also features a machine learning algorithm that evaluates sentiment in social media posts and how popular technical analysis are affecting the market. Each module is given a specific weight based on its statistical impact on the market.

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We are assessing Bitcoin's volatility and maximum drawdowns, comparing these metrics with the average values from the past 30 and 90 days. We suggest that an abnormal increase in volatility signals a market driven by fear.

We evaluate current trading volumes and market momentum against 30/90 day averages, then combine these indicators. Typically, high daily buying volumes in a positive market lead us to conclude that the market is excessively greedy or overly bullish.

We collect and tally posts with various hashtags for each coin from Twitter (X) and monitor the speed and volume of interactions within certain time frames. A surge in interaction rates signifies heightened public interest in the coin, which we view as indicative of a greedy market.

A coin’s dominance represents its share of the total crypto market capitalization. For Bitcoin, an increase in dominance often stems from a flight to safety, reducing speculative investments in alt-coins as Bitcoin becomes the preferred safe haven in the crypto space. Conversely, a decrease in Bitcoin dominance suggests growing greed, as investors move into riskier alt-coins anticipating the next major bull run. For other coins, increasing dominance can imply a bullish or greedy sentiment specific to that coin.

We analyze Google Trends data for various Bitcoin-related search queries, focusing on changes in search volumes and identifying other currently popular searches.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is meticulously calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of multiple key metrics that gauge investor sentiment within the cryptocurrency market, such as the following.

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There have been three Bitcoin halvings since the launch of the Bitcoin blockchain. These previous halvings occurred in the following years:{br}{br}First Halving: November 28, 2012; the block reward was reduced from 50 BTC per block to 25 BTC per block.{br}{br}Second Halving: July 9, 2016; the block reward was reduced from 25 BTC per block to 12.5 BTC per block.{br}{br}Third Halving: May 11, 2020; the block reward was reduced from 12.5 BTC per block to 6.25 BTC per block.{br}{br}Fourth Halving: April 20, 2024; the block reward was reduced from 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC per block.

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The Bitcoin halving event, which is a process that reduces the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks in half, has significant implications for miners, investors, traders, and users of the Bitcoin blockchain. These implications can be observed in both the short term and the long term. Let's explore some of the key implications in more detail:

How Does Bitcoin Halving Affect The Price of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin halving occurs to control the issuance of new bitcoins and ensure the cryptocurrency's scarcity. Bitcoin's protocol limits the rate at which new bitcoins are created, gradually slowing down the growth of its total supply. This deliberate scarcity is designed to mimic the scarcity and controlled supply of precious commodities like gold, making Bitcoin an attractive store of value and a hedge against inflation.

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Bitcoin halvings reinforce its reputation as a long-term investment by reducing the rate of supply issuance, making it scarcer over time. This scarcity, coupled with the network's growing adoption and utility, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a store of value and a hedge against inflation, attracting long-term investors.

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Bitcoin halvings directly impact miners by reducing their block rewards, cutting their income in half. This event can lead to increased competition and pressure on less efficient miners, potentially forcing some to exit the mining ecosystem while incentivizing more efficient operations and technological advancements.

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Mining difficulty is a measure of how much computing power it is required to mine new blocks in a blockchain network. It adjusts regularly to maintain a consistent rate of block production. When more miners join the network, the difficulty increases; when miners leave, it decreases.{br}{br}Hashrate, on the other hand, represents the computational power of the network's miners. It measures how many calculations a network can perform per second. A higher hashrate indicates a more secure and competitive network, as miners with more computational power are more likely to mine new blocks and receive rewards.

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Bitcoin halvings can influence the hash rate and network security by potentially leading to fluctuations in miners' profitability. If the price doesn't rise significantly to compensate for the reduced block rewards, some miners may leave the network, temporarily lowering the hash rate and potentially making the network more vulnerable to attacks until the difficulty adjusts.

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The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in March 2028, when the block height number hits 1,050,000. After that, the next block’s reward will be halved: 1.5625 BTC instead of 3.125 BTC.

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The key to Bitcoin's long-term success lies in its Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism within a peer-to-peer environment. This mechanism operates independent of external inputs like clock readings. Proof of Work is based on a fundamental truth: computation requires work, and work requires energy and time in our universe.{br}{br}Difficulty adjustments are necessary to prevent Bitcoin's internal clock from speeding up due to increased miner participation or improved mining devices. Without these adjustments, the value of Bitcoin would quickly decline.

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Bitcoin's maximum supply is capped at 21 million Bitcoins. This limit is hard-coded into the Bitcoin protocol and cannot be changed without overwhelming consensus from the network's participants. The maximum supply of 21 million bitcoins will be reached around the year 2140, when the last bitcoin will be mined.

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Bitcoin halvings reinforce the scarcity of supply by reducing the rate at which new bitcoins are created. This controlled reduction in issuance over time maintains and strengthens Bitcoin's inherent scarcity, ultimately enhancing its appeal as a store of value.

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Bitcoin operates on its own internal rhythm, characterized by a low frequency that allows for a sufficient buffer to delay communication between participants during the block validation process. Approximately every 2016 blocks, Bitcoin's internal clock is reset, resulting in an average block discovery rate of one valid block every 10 minutes.

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Market sentiment is very bearish, many assets may be undervalued.

Extreme fear

Market sentiment is very bullish, many assets may be overpriced.

Extreme greed

Market sentiment is moderately bearish, traders are taking less risk.

Fear

Market sentiment is moderately bullish, traders are taking more risk.

Greed

Neutral

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Crafting Finance CRF

Historical Data for Crafting Finance